Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008746 0.009864 0.011089 0.012536 0.014203 0.016067 0.018316
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.007052 0.008578 0.010401 0.012757 0.015741 0.019423 0.024354
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.006038 0.007712 0.009829 0.012733 0.016657 0.021839 0.029308
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005131 0.006804 0.009013 0.012187 0.016700 0.022994 0.032627
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004598 0.006299 0.008632 0.012125 0.017324 0.024942 0.037263
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004363 0.006163 0.008723 0.012709 0.018911 0.028447 0.044736
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003889 0.005627 0.008170 0.012258 0.018847 0.029385 0.048214
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003521 0.005208 0.007743 0.011937 0.018925 0.030522 0.052149
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003282 0.004960 0.007546 0.011948 0.019530 0.032583 0.058001
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003183 0.004919 0.007665 0.012482 0.021067 0.036439 0.067791
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002970 0.004675 0.007429 0.012384 0.021474 0.038297 0.073991
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002822 0.004522 0.007331 0.012509 0.022290 0.041009 0.082369
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002612 0.004257 0.007029 0.012261 0.022421 0.042495 0.088616
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002498 0.004146 0.006988 0.012491 0.023512 0.046086 0.100303
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002356 0.003975 0.006823 0.012467 0.024087 0.048676 0.110181
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002156 0.003686 0.006418 0.011934 0.023545 0.048774 0.114005
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002039 0.003537 0.006259 0.011873 0.023992 0.051131 0.124037
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002012 0.003550 0.006406 0.012443 0.025879 0.057085 0.144934
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001864 0.003328 0.006083 0.012003 0.025447 0.057449 0.150440
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001744 0.003149 0.005830 0.011689 0.025270 0.058415 0.157915
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001669 0.003052 0.005733 0.011701 0.025858 0.061402 0.172153
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001652 0.003066 0.005860 0.012221 0.027739 0.068070 0.199631
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001574 0.002956 0.005721 0.012126 0.028082 0.070651 0.214472